Archive for December, 2016

Consider the following from MoneyWeek’s Bill Bonner;

…there is a financial institution of uncertain integrity, with an electronic balance sheet of uncertain accuracy, listing alleged financial claims and contracts of uncertain quality – and that you are one of the many thousands of entries on the debit side, with a claim to a certain number of dollars, which the institution may or may not have… each of uncertain value.

…Today, banks no longer have “money”. They have credits and debits. Your deposit is your bank’s liability and your asset. But look at the balance sheet. You don’t know how many of the claims on the left are right… or whether, when the other creditors get finished with it, any of the assets shown on the right are left.

….and to think some people have an issue with me believing in an unseen God !?

 

Image result for The Big Short Poster

An excellent and well articulated movie which once again demonstrates the high ignorance shown by market participants, the “emperors clothes” mentality which authorities displayed and the falsehood by which many were duped into believing the boom would continue indefinitely. Contrarians would certainly be pleased with this

As the tag line says, “This is a true story”, its hard to believe but it really is!. Nothing else needs to be added showing the level impact the plain truth can have.

Interested viewers should also note that they can search the LEARN series of posts on this blog site for an easy to understand tutorial on many of the credit based products mentioned in this film.

I have linked here the latest article from Jim Rickards, touching on what he believes to be the next economic catastrophe. Note the quote below which illustrates his view of lessons not learned sufficiently from the causes of previous crises, and the disdain for perceived wisdom

The equilibrium and value-at-risk models used by banks will not foresee the new panic. Those models are junk science relying as they do on notions of efficient markets, normally distributed risk, continuous liquidity, and a future that resembles the past. None of those hypotheses match reality.

Advances in behavioural psychology have demolished the idea of efficient markets. The future does not resemble the past; it keeps getting worse

 

In 1985 a precedent was set, as the leading economies of the day met to agree a way forward for mutual benefit and growth.

Read a summary of the event here

Putting this into perspective, considering modern day interventions, which has become a little too coordinated and frequent. Ultimately the Central bankers continue to take center stage, markets can’t get enough of them. They pour over every word, the syntax and the general impression they give about the coming months, are they feeling too hot or too cold, bull-shit or bear-shit?

These are the puppet masters, managing the stage, setting the scene.

Another example of the manipulation and authoritarian control excercised over our economic reality