Posts Tagged ‘Debt’

 

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If he didn’t repeat himself yesterday, then I might not have known that he said the same thing back in 2015….

Bank of England governor trashes textbook theory and rips apart the workings and effects of the global financial superstructure, read the original speech here from three years ago

…and another blog which probably analyses it better than me here

Their world imagines self-interested, atomistic agents, coolly calculating odds over all future possible states of the world, writing and trading contracts with each other, all frictionlessly enforced, all achieving mutually beneficial – indeed socially optimal – outcomes.

Of course, markets only clear in textbooks. In fact people are irrational, economies are imperfect, and nature itself is unknowable.

When imperfections exist (which is always), adding markets can sometimes make things worse.

Mark Carney timeless quotes can be found throughout this speech

https://www.rt.com/shows/renegade-inc/379579-uk-finance-curse-suffer/

 

Is RT just a mouth piece for Russian imperialism….maybe, but doesn’t the great USA have mouth pieces and sensationalists such as Fox, and perhaps others media? Let us critically judge the content for what its worth.

From one of the Authors of ‘The Princes of the Yen’, view Professor Werner explain the workings of banking, but also justify some of the solutions to the issues it creates.

Many of these are scorned upon by neo liberals, often being rubbished by talk of the lack of competitiveness it would create, the lack of wealth for society as a whole….blah blah…haven’t we heard these arguments before, circulate again and again…but what haven’t we heard? How about the lack of manipulation, how about real democratic authority and accountability. What of fair pricing and transparency as opposed to superficial gains and over valued delusional self worth?

I must draw your attention to David Buik, ‘City Grandee’ of over 50 odd years experience of the city, frequently on mainstream business media, yet he didn’t even know how the City of London Corporation actually worked?? I would continue to question who these prominent experts are and what they actually know before we have them paraded in front of us as knowledgeable advisers and commentators

 

 

Note the historical parallel to contemporary Chinese and Middle Eastern dominance of US assets and currencies and their recycling of dollars back into the US dominated global economy….

An excellent history of the workings of global central banking, seen through the economic history of Japan. The Asian financial crisis, Long Term Capital Management and the recent Euro debt crises are also explored and together brought into contemplation….highly recommended

 

MoneyWeek always does a good job in joining together different strands of the reality surrounding debt and putting it all into perspective.

This piece is another example of such work, I found the following points worth noting;

• The effect cheap debt has on corporate behaviour, which in turn translates into market moves/signals

• Statistics in the shape of national debt being measured against GDP which is not entirely genuine due to the whole economy not being ‘owned’ by government . However this leads me to ponder that although government debt is initated by the State, it is all tax paying citizens that will ultimately bear its burden, hence comparing it to GDP does equate to it being the nations debt, but of course not all GDP belongs to all citizens

• How much debt is responsible for living standards. This is particularly worth contemplating, many look at material wealth and standards of living as a barometer for social advancement however if this is heavily influenced by credit and in some cases unaffordable credit, is it simply an illusion? Another house of cards, which others are vying endlessly to win a share of?

https://www.capitalandconflict.com/uncategorised/debt-solves-everything-hopefully/

For anyone not familiar with the work of Ann Pettifor – one of the few to correctly call the coming of the financial crisis a number of years prior to it arriving, and one of the main proponents of the Jubilee 2000 campaign which cancelled a portion of third world debt – please search for her various articles, lectures and opinions online.

Associated with Keynesian economics and the Labour party, her views may be dismissed by some, however upon closer inspection, I was interested in her view on the creation of money, and what this meant for resolving the debt and economic problems facing the developing world.

She is principally part of the PRIME think tank/research group, which has a number of papers on its site proving an alternative voice on economic issues

The above lecture at the LSE discusses her latest book, ‘The Production of Money: How to Break the Power of Bankers’, and gives an insight into her theories.

What I wish to highlight, are the following;

  • The issue of commodity money, and how scarce resources should not be used as a basis of any monetary system
  • The recognition that a fiat monetary system, can and should be used for the benefit of the population – outside the control of private banks, but in the knowledge that an entirely man-made system should be used to achieve a level of prosperity in all societies
  • There are certainly many socialist aspects to these beliefs, such as exerting capital controls and spending money into existence in terms of health, education and social expenditure thus increasing national debt, however interest ideally should not be necessary when such a system is implemented
  • There are some similarities with what Positive Money are advocating, but it seems there are specific differences, as this discussion points out…

 

 

Depending on when you want to mark the start of what has become known as the Financial Crisis or even the Great Recession..(take your pick, or make one up), or as I would refer to it, the shit storm created from the exuberance of one generation thinking they can out do the folly of previous generations and become gods amoung men, see point 25 in the link below

I guess they’re not really the Masters of the Universe, they’re maybe not even smart people, perhaps closer to the opposite despite their highly valued creditials

This month marks a particular 10 year anniversary of one such start date of the crisis…we’ll get another 10 year anniversary next year if you miss this one, that one being the big one – when Lehmans went down.

This link is similar to a number of articles circulating over this period around what went wrong and what has changed since then that will probably make it impossible to happen again….I won’t hold my breath

Whatever has happened, the most fundamental fact that should be lamented is that the world is more indebted than ever…national debts have ballooned, fiat currencies are more debased than ever and emergency interest rates are still prevalent.

This danger is ever present, waiting to fuel the next severe economic breakdown, because the greatest lesson from the fallout is that crashes of this extent will always happen, constantly…it’s just a matter of time and behaviour